Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.070497 0.078130 0.086508 0.096432 0.107928 0.120899 0.136743
2024-10-27 0.058448 0.068636 0.080734 0.096345 0.116237 0.141125 0.175263
2024-11-03 0.051109 0.062771 0.077507 0.097906 0.126101 0.164801 0.224022
2024-11-10 0.045745 0.058228 0.074813 0.099156 0.135256 0.189109 0.280512
2024-11-17 0.041189 0.053944 0.071591 0.098781 0.141597 0.210350 0.338799
2024-11-24 0.038030 0.051076 0.069792 0.099936 0.150151 0.236745 0.415059
2024-12-01 0.035458 0.048682 0.068269 0.101101 0.158709 0.265041 0.506282
2024-12-08 0.033234 0.046520 0.066766 0.101946 0.166707 0.294225 0.612806
2024-12-15 0.031131 0.044307 0.064885 0.101795 0.172730 0.321003 0.727530
2024-12-22 0.029077 0.041969 0.062527 0.100423 0.176056 0.342870 0.841858
2024-12-29 0.027890 0.040888 0.062107 0.102452 0.186567 0.384296 1.043259
2025-01-05 0.026211 0.038866 0.059880 0.100763 0.188851 0.406367 1.197369
2025-01-12 0.025098 0.037715 0.059094 0.101845 0.197715 0.449418 1.475030
2025-01-19 0.023817 0.036186 0.057500 0.101116 0.202324 0.482717 1.751418
2025-01-26 0.022949 0.035296 0.056976 0.102510 0.212397 0.536735 2.208216
2025-02-02 0.022130 0.034429 0.056407 0.103726 0.222335 0.595182 2.799835
2025-02-09 0.021177 0.033256 0.055154 0.103280 0.227834 0.641285 3.414606
2025-02-16 0.020495 0.032518 0.054668 0.104486 0.238199 0.711252 4.424089
2025-02-23 0.019864 0.031830 0.054219 0.105714 0.248983 0.789714 5.827894
2025-03-02 0.019244 0.031119 0.053660 0.106607 0.259055 0.872141 7.724861
2025-03-09 0.018563 0.030253 0.052715 0.106445 0.265860 0.944615 10.000269
2025-03-16 0.017808 0.029203 0.051315 0.104988 0.268190 0.997018 12.398673
2025-03-23 0.017432 0.028852 0.051339 0.107141 0.283280 1.130938 18.566210